Sport Picks
Penrhyncoch vs FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
Wales
FA Cup 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
Penrhyncoch in this FA Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penrhyncoch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Penrhyncoch lately — more wins on the board than FC Nomads of Connahs Quay.
- Win probability leans Penrhyncoch's way, sitting at 90%.
- Penrhyncoch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Penrhyncoch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 18%
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | FC Nomads of Connahs Quay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 7 |
| Wins | 13 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2016 FA Cup
Penrhyncoch vs FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penrhyncoch 85 / 100
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penrhyncoch FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Penrhyncoch scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 7 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Penrhyncoch remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Penrhyncoch VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Penrhyncoch
(Home) 18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0 Rhyl
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1 Gresford
06 Apr
Caersws FC
1 : 2 Penrhyncoch
03 Apr
Denbigh
1 : 0 Penrhyncoch
28 Mar
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0 Rhyl
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1 Gresford
28 Mar
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Holywell Town FC
14 Mar
Penrhyncoch
1 : 0 Holyhead
28 Feb
Penrhyncoch
2 : 3 Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 3
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
(Away) 04 Oct
Penrhyncoch
2 : 0 FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
03 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 3 Denbigh
29 Nov
Newtown
2 : 0 FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
08 Nov
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
5 : 2 Llangollen
04 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
1 : 0 Brynford
Page 1 of 2
04 Oct
Penrhyncoch
2 : 0 FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
29 Nov
Newtown
2 : 0 FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
09 Nov
Rhydymwyn
4 : 1 FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Caernarfon5
Conwy Borough1
Brymbo0
Llangefni4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Penrhyncoch2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay0
Llanuwchllyn0
Ruthin Town3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rhyl-
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llandrindod3
Merthyr Saints2
Sully Sports2
Llantwit Major6
Corwen2
Lex Glyndwr XI1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United0
Buckley2
Flint Town6
Penycae FC0
Llanidloes Town0
Llanfair United2
Guilsfield6
Welshpool3
Llanberis FC0
Mold Alexandra4
Mynydd Llandegai5
Glantraeth FC3
Llandudno Albion2
Greenfield3
Porthmadog4
Caersws FC0
Denbigh0
Gresford3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
Penybont3
AFC Porth1
Aberbargoed Buds0
Barry Town5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Caldicot4
Aberaeron1
Caerau FC0
Cwmamman United2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Trefelin3
Cambrian United1
Croesyceiliog FC1
Goytre Utd2
Afan Lido4
Pontyclun FC1
Cwmbran Celtic0
Pontardawe1
Undy3
Blaenrhondda0
Newport YMCA1
Haverfordwest2
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanrhaeadr5
Prestatyn Sports3
Coedpoeth0
Holywell Town FC8
Holyhead3
Nantlle Vale FC0
Abergele Town0
Llanrug2
Hawarden Rangers2
Carno FC1
St. Asaph0
Prestatyn8
Bangor City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Treowen4
Risca United1
Abergavenny Town2
Ton Pentre4
Goytre AFC3
Bridgend Street2
Caerau Ely3
Rhayader4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
Llanelli6
Trethomas Bluebirds0
Port Talbot0
Taffs Well1
Monmouth1
Brecon Corinthians0
Ebbw Vale F.C.1
Ynysygerwn2
Newtown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
1/32-finals
Caernarfon5
Llangefni4
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Penrhyncoch3
Ruthin Town0
TBD-
Rhyl-
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
Llandrindod0
Llantwit Major1
Corwen6
Buckley1
Flint Town3
Llanfair United4
Guilsfield4
Mold Alexandra2
Mynydd Llandegai0
Greenfield3
Porthmadog3
Gresford2
TBD-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
Penybont3
Barry Town0
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Caldicot2
Cwmamman United0
TBD-
Bala-
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
Trefelin0
Goytre Utd1
Afan Lido1
Pontardawe0
Undy2
Haverfordwest3
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
Llanrhaeadr0
Holywell Town FC6
Holyhead2
Llanrug1
Hawarden Rangers1
Prestatyn4
Bangor City-
TBD-
Treowen1
Ton Pentre2
Goytre AFC2
Rhayader1
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
Llanelli3
Taffs Well2
Monmouth3
Ynysygerwn7
Newtown-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
1/16-finals
Caernarfon3
Carmarthen Town1
Penrhyncoch0
Rhyl6
Cefn Druids2
Llantwit Major0
Corwen0
Llanfair United1
Guilsfield3
Greenfield0
Porthmadog0
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Penybont4
Airbus UK Broughton FC1
Caldicot1
Bala6
Connahs Q.3
Goytre Utd2
Afan Lido0
Haverfordwest1
Aberystwyth2
Holywell Town FC0
Holyhead1
Prestatyn2
Bangor City2
Ton Pentre0
Goytre AFC-
Llandudno FC-
Llanelli5
Ynysygerwn1
Newtown0
TNS3
1/8-finals
Caernarfon3
Rhyl2
Cefn Druids1
Llanfair United4
Guilsfield4
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Penybont1
Bala4
Connahs Q.5
Haverfordwest1
Aberystwyth1
Prestatyn5
Bangor City4
Llandudno FC0
Llanelli0
TNS7
Quarter-finals
Caernarfon7
Llanfair United0
Guilsfield0
Bala3
Connahs Q.3
Prestatyn2
Bangor City1
TNS2
Semi-finals
Caernarfon1
Bala3
Connahs Q.0
TNS3
Final
Bala2
TNS1
