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Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Berry T.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Penrhyncoch and Gresford finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gresford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penrhyncoch
15%
Draws
85%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gresford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gresford haven't matched Penrhyncoch's recent run of results.
  • Gresford are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Gresford
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.4 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Gresford
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Gresford
4:1
Jan 10, 2026 Cymru North
Gresford vs Penrhyncoch
3:2
Oct 26, 2024 Cymru North
Gresford vs Penrhyncoch
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Gresford
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhyncoch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Gresford Compare

Top Goalscorer Berry T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 14 / 100
Gresford 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gresford let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Penrhyncoch's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gresford lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Gresford
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

Gresford

(Away)
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 9 8 0 1 23:4 24
2 Mold Alexandra 9 6 2 1 23:11 20
3 Newtown 8 6 1 1 16:2 19
4 Bala 9 6 0 3 17:14 18
5 Porthmadog 9 5 2 2 16:11 17
6 Caersws FC 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
7 Bangor 1876 9 5 1 3 23:17 16
8 Guilsfield 9 3 4 2 15:12 13
9 Buckley 9 3 2 4 21:16 11
10 Llanuwchllyn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
11 Rhyl 8 2 3 3 15:16 9
12 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
13 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
14 Ruthin Town 9 2 1 6 8:19 7
15 Gresford 8 1 1 6 5:21 4
16 Penrhyncoch 9 0 1 8 4:29 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)