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Penrhyncoch vs Llay Welfare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Owen D.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2024/2025 game between Penrhyncoch and Llay Welfare finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penrhyncoch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penrhyncoch
15%
Draws
85%
Llay Welfare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llay Welfare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penrhyncoch come out ahead of Llay Welfare on wins alone.
  • Llay Welfare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru North 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 20%
Llay Welfare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Llay Welfare
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.26 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Llay Welfare
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Cymru North
Llay Welfare vs Penrhyncoch
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Llay Welfare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
Llay Welfare 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Llay Welfare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llay Welfare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llay Welfare let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Penrhyncoch's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Llay Welfare registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 7

Llay Welfare

(Away)
22 Jul
Llay Welfare
4 : 0
Ellesmere Port
05 Jul
Llay Welfare
2 : 0
Llansantffraid Village
01 Jul
Llay Welfare
1 : 2
Denbigh
12 Apr
Llay Welfare
1 : 2
Guilsfield
04 Apr
Denbigh
5 : 0
Llay Welfare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 26 3 1 88:22 81
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 25 3 2 102:30 78
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 3 9 56:41 57
4 Llandudno FC 30 15 4 11 65:60 49
5 Buckley 30 14 5 11 48:47 47
6 Guilsfield 30 13 6 11 59:52 45
7 Flint Mountain 30 13 5 12 68:56 44
8 Mold Alexandra 30 13 5 12 52:48 44
9 Denbigh 30 12 7 11 68:62 43
10 Penrhyncoch 30 11 7 12 48:52 40
11 Gresford 30 11 5 14 44:67 38
12 Caersws FC 30 10 4 16 47:55 34
13 Ruthin Town 30 8 5 17 40:59 29
14 Bangor 1876 30 8 4 18 46:64 28
15 Prestatyn 30 4 1 25 38:105 13
16 Llay Welfare 30 3 5 22 35:84 11
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Main)