Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Penrhyncoch advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trearddur Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Trearddur Bay haven't matched Penrhyncoch's recent run of results.
- Model gives Trearddur Bay a 85% chance of winning this.
- Penrhyncoch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Penrhyncoch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 20%
Trearddur Bay Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Trearddur Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 13 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 19 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 2.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.09 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Penrhyncoch vs Trearddur Bay
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
Trearddur Bay 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penrhyncoch Trearddur Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trearddur Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trearddur Bay has conceded goals in 85% of their last 13 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Penrhyncoch's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Trearddur Bay's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Penrhyncoch VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Penrhyncoch
(Home) 03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Gresford
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Gresford
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2 Denbigh
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 4
Trearddur Bay
(Away) 31 Jan
Flint Town
3 : 0 Trearddur Bay
13 Dec
Trearddur Bay
5 : 3 Newport City
22 Nov
Glynneath Town
2 : 5 Trearddur Bay
18 Oct
Broughton Utd
0 : 6 Trearddur Bay
20 Sept
Berriew FC
0 : 3 Trearddur Bay
Page 1 of 3
31 Jan
Flint Town
3 : 0 Trearddur Bay
22 Nov
Glynneath Town
2 : 5 Trearddur Bay
18 Oct
Broughton Utd
0 : 6 Trearddur Bay
20 Sept
Berriew FC
0 : 3 Trearddur Bay
16 Nov
Holyhead
1 : 0 Trearddur Bay
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 3
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
Cefn Albion 3
Conwy Borough 5
Aberdare Town 3
Cwmbach Royal Stars 0
Briton Ferry 2
Barry Town 3
Cefn Druids 4
Gresford 0
Bow Street 1
Porthmadog 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 4
Carno FC 0
Berriew FC 1
Rhostyllen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llantwit Fardre 0
Pontypridd United 0
Penybont 2
Garden Village 2
Rhayader 1
Ton Pentre 0
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 1
Knighton Town 2
Caerleon 2
Treharris Athletic 1
Butetown FC 1
Afan Lido 5
Buckley 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 0
Gwalchmai 0
Mold Alexandra 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 3
Corwen 2
Hawarden Rangers 0
Llanfair United 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli 6
Panteg 3
Llwydcoed 0
Cambrian United 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Aberaeron 0
Risca United 2
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Goytre Utd 4
Monmouth 2
Undy 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 2
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Town 1
Dinas Powys 4
Llandudno Junction 6
Caersws FC 1
Llanrug 2
Caernarfon 3
Penrhyncoch 5
Aberffraw 0
Waterloo Rovers 1
Trearddur Bay 7
West End 3
Treowen 2
Llandrindod 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 5
Prestatyn Sports 0
Pentraeth 0
Holyhead 8
Guilsfield 4
Glantraeth FC 2
Queens Park 0
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Ebbw Vale F.C. 1
Taffs Well 1
Cwmamman United 2
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/32-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 4
Conwy Borough 1
Aberdare Town 2
Barry Town 7
Cefn Druids 2
Porthmadog 0
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 2
Rhostyllen 0
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Penybont 2
Garden Village 1
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 6
Knighton Town 3
Caerleon 0
Afan Lido 2
Buckley 1
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 5
Llanfair United 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
Llanelli 0
Cambrian United 2
Brecon Corinthians 3
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Goytre Utd 1
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Dinas Powys 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 4
Trearddur Bay 0
West End 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Holyhead 4
Guilsfield 3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Cwmamman United 4
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/16-finals
TNS 3
Aberystwyth 0
Denbigh 1
Barry Town 6
Cefn Druids 1
Rhyl 0
Flint Town 0
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
STM Sports 0
Holywell Town FC 0
Afan Lido 1
Buckley 1
Llandudno FC 0
Prestatyn 0
Connahs Q. 3
Port Talbot 2
Cambrian United 1
Brecon Corinthians 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Caernarfon 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Bangor City 1
Holyhead 2
Guilsfield 3
Cwmamman United 0
Haverfordwest 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
1/8-finals
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Cefn Druids 0
Newtown 6
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Afan Lido 0
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Port Talbot 3
Caerau Ely 0
Goytre AFC 3
Cwmbran Celtic 5
Bala 3
Holyhead 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Quarter-finals
TNS 1
Newtown 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 2
Port Talbot 2
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Bala 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Semi-finals
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Final
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
