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Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Hirnyk-Sport

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penuel Kryvyi Rih play Hirnyk-Sport in the Druha Liga. Penuel Kryvyi Rih are favorites here. Recently, Penuel Kryvyi Rih averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Hirnyk-Sport averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Penuel Kryvyi Rih won 2, Hirnyk-Sport won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Penuel Kryvyi Rih and 1.00 for Hirnyk-Sport. This points to a Penuel Kryvyi Rih double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
25%
Draws
15%
Hirnyk-Sport
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Penuel Kryvyi Rih

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Penuel Kryvyi Rih picked up more points recently compared to Hirnyk-Sport.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Clean Sheet 23%
Hirnyk-Sport Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penuel Kryvyi Rih Hirnyk-Sport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.9 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Druha Liga
Hirnyk-Sport vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Druha Liga
Penuel Kryvyi Rih vs Hirnyk-Sport
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 Druha Liga
Hirnyk-Sport vs Penuel Kryvyi Rih
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penuel Kryvyi Rih Compare

Top Goalscorer Pylypenko V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matko S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hirnyk-Sport Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penuel Kryvyi Rih 59 / 100
Hirnyk-Sport 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penuel Kryvyi Rih Hirnyk-Sport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penuel Kryvyi Rih Win (1)
Secondary Pick Penuel Kryvyi Rih & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Penuel Kryvyi Rih attacking → ← attacking Hirnyk-Sport

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penuel Kryvyi Rih scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Hirnyk-Sport let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Penuel Kryvyi Rih went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hirnyk-Sport lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 17
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kulikiv30215458:1868
2Zhytomyr 230189369:2263
3Nyva Vinnytsya30156942:3251
4Nyva Ternopil 2301621230:4350
5Atlet Kiev301441245:4846
6FC Uzhhorod301351240:3744
7Skala 1911301351262:4844
8FC Vilkhivtsi301251350:4641
9Bukovyna 230761731:5727
10Real Pharma Odesa30142518:967
11Lisne30831932:3027
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lokomotyv Kyiv30224465:1670
2Kolos Kovalivka 230216364:2269
3Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka30176758:4157
4Rebel Kyiv301551034:2750
5Livyi Bereg 230139850:2848
6Trostyanets30138946:3147
7Oleksandriya 2301281037:3244
8Ch. Odesa 230591625:5624
9Dinaz Vyshgorod30542126:6219
10Penuel Kryvyi Rih30381927:6417
11Hirnyk-Sport30352220:7314