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Penya Arrabal vs Arenal Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penya Arrabal in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penya Arrabal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Penya Arrabal
15%
Draws
42%
Arenal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penya Arrabal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Penya Arrabal lately — more wins on the board than Arenal.
  • Model gives Penya Arrabal a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Penya Arrabal Clean Sheet 20%
Arenal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Arrabal Arenal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 1 7
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 1.2 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Arrabal vs Arenal
3:1
Aug 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs Penya Arrabal
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya Arrabal 36 / 100
Arenal 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Arrabal Arenal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arenal conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Penya Arrabal's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Arenal registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arenal
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya Arrabal

(Home)
14 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Penya Arrabal
07 May
Penya Arrabal
3 : 1
Felanitx
01 May
CD Montuiri
4 : 2
Penya Arrabal
19 Apr
Penya Arrabal
1 : 4
UD Poblense
17 Apr
Constancia
2 : 0
Penya Arrabal
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Arenal

(Away)
03 Oct
Llosetense
3 : 1
Arenal
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)