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Penya Arrabal vs Norteno CF

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Penya Arrabal and Norteno CF finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penya Arrabal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Penya Arrabal
15%
Draws
49%
Norteno CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norteno CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norteno CF come out ahead of Penya Arrabal on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Penya Arrabal taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Penya Arrabal Clean Sheet 20%
Norteno CF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Arrabal Norteno CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 1 3
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 1.2 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Arrabal vs Norteno CF
2:1
Nov 20, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Norteno CF vs Penya Arrabal
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya Arrabal 40 / 100
Norteno CF 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Arrabal Norteno CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penya Arrabal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penya Arrabal found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Norteno CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Norteno CF's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penya Arrabal VS Norteno CF
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya Arrabal

(Home)
14 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Penya Arrabal
07 May
Penya Arrabal
3 : 1
Felanitx
01 May
CD Montuiri
4 : 2
Penya Arrabal
19 Apr
Penya Arrabal
1 : 4
UD Poblense
17 Apr
Constancia
2 : 0
Penya Arrabal
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Norteno CF

(Away)
15 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Norteno CF
07 May
Norteno CF
0 : 0
Mercadal
30 Apr
Norteno CF
1 : 0
Alaior
25 Apr
Binissalem
3 : 0
Norteno CF
17 Apr
Norteno CF
0 : 3
Pena Deportiva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)