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Penya Arrabal vs Santanyi

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Penya Arrabal and Santanyi finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santanyi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Penya Arrabal
30%
Draws
47%
Santanyi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santanyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Penya Arrabal haven't matched Santanyi's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Santanyi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Penya Arrabal Clean Sheet 20%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya Arrabal Santanyi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 1 9
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Arrabal vs Santanyi
2:3
Oct 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Penya Arrabal
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya Arrabal 20 / 100
Santanyi 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya Arrabal Santanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santanyi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santanyi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Penya Arrabal scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Penya Arrabal went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santanyi
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya Arrabal

(Home)
14 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Penya Arrabal
07 May
Penya Arrabal
3 : 1
Felanitx
01 May
CD Montuiri
4 : 2
Penya Arrabal
19 Apr
Penya Arrabal
1 : 4
UD Poblense
17 Apr
Constancia
2 : 0
Penya Arrabal
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Santanyi

(Away)
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)