Sport Picks
Penya Independent vs Formentera Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Penya Independent and Formentera finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Formentera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Formentera carry the better recent record into this one.
- 28% — that's where the model lands on Penya Independent taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Formentera here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penya Independent | Formentera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Penya Independent Compare
Formentera Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Penya Independent's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Penya Independent has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Formentera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Penya Independent
(Home)Formentera
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Poblense | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 47:17 | 72 |
| 2 | Constancia | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 55:31 | 67 |
| 3 | Formentera | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 68:34 | 66 |
| 4 | Porreres | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 51:32 | 62 |
| 5 | Penya Independent | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 59:34 | 58 |
| 6 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 54 |
| 7 | Manacor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 54:36 | 51 |
| 8 | Alcudia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:53 | 47 |
| 9 | Binissalem | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 35:34 | 47 |
| 10 | Llosetense | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47:45 | 44 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:45 | 43 |
| 12 | Mercadal | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Felanitx | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:50 | 40 |
| 14 | Collerense | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 42:48 | 39 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 43:51 | 37 |
| 16 | PE Sant Jordi | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:52 | 30 |
| 17 | Campos | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 31:75 | 20 |
| 18 | Migjorn | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 22:82 | 16 |
