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Penya vs La Massana

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2024/2025 Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Morales E. A.
18'
de Jesus F.
18'
Martinez J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió 2024/2025 game between Penya and La Massana finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Penya
20%
Draws
0%
La Massana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penya come out ahead of La Massana on wins alone.
  • Penya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Penya have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Penya Clean Sheet 68%
La Massana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penya La Massana
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 1
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 27
Goals Scored 0.94 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.65 3.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Primera Divisió
Penya vs La Massana
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Primera Divisió
La Massana vs Penya
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Primera Divisió
La Massana vs Penya
1:3
Jan 15, 2023 Andorra Cup
La Massana vs Penya
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penya Compare

Top Goalscorer Nava J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ismael R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

La Massana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penya 95 / 100
La Massana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penya La Massana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Massana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

La Massana's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Penya found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Penya VS La Massana
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penya

(Home)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
FC Santa Coloma
4 : 0
Penya
06 Sept
Penya
1 : 1
Atletic Escaldes
17 May
Atletic Escaldes
2 : 0
Penya
10 May
Penya
1 : 2
FC Rangers
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La Massana

(Away)
11 Jan
La Massana
0 : 3
Inter Escaldes
18 May
Ordino
5 : 1
La Massana
11 May
La Massana
0 : 5
Pas de la Casa
04 May
Esperanca
1 : 0
La Massana
26 Apr
La Massana
1 : 4
FC Santa Coloma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 27 18 8 1 84:19 62
2 Atletic Escaldes 27 16 7 4 70:25 55
3 FC Santa Coloma 27 16 4 7 42:28 52
4 UE Santa Coloma 27 14 7 6 56:24 49
5 FC Rangers 27 13 9 5 59:20 48
6 Ordino 27 9 6 12 32:48 33
7 Penya 27 9 6 12 32:46 30
8 Pas de la Casa 27 8 5 14 35:36 29
9 Esperanca 27 1 4 22 14:92 7
10 La Massana 27 1 2 24 10:102 5
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2024/2025 (Relegation)