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Penybont vs Barry Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penybont host Barry Town in the Cymru Premier. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Barry Town have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Penybont have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.16. Past meetings favor Penybont slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.75, favoring Barry Town. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Penybont
15%
Draws
31%
Barry Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Barry Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Penybont are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Penybont Clean Sheet 12%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penybont Barry Town
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 13 23
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.16 2.08
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Barry Town
0:2
Mar 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Penybont
1:0
Dec 9, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Barry Town
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Penybont
2:3
Dec 26, 2024 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Penybont
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penybont 83 / 100
Barry Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penybont Barry Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penybont Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penybont scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Barry Town conceded in 70% of 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Penybont has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penybont VS Barry Town
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Penybont

(Home)
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
Page 1 of 7

Barry Town

(Away)
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 12 11 1 0 38:5 34
2 Connahs Q. 12 9 1 2 28:8 28
3 Penybont 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Barry Town 12 8 1 3 27:20 25
5 Caernarfon 12 7 2 3 35:14 23
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 12 6 3 3 23:13 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 12 6 0 6 21:17 18
9 Cambrian United 12 5 3 4 21:32 18
10 Llandudno FC 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
11 Briton Ferry 12 3 3 6 11:20 12
12 Haverfordwest 12 3 1 8 7:17 10
13 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
14 Ammanford Town 12 1 3 8 9:32 6
15 Trefelin 12 0 3 9 5:30 3
16 Holywell Town FC 12 0 2 10 13:38 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)