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Penybont vs Colwyn Bay

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
Penybont Logo

Penybont

0 - 0
FT
Colwyn Bay Logo

Colwyn Bay

Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Daley N. In: Green C.
Out: Daley N.
72'
Sub
Hill M. In: Williams A.
Out: Hill M.
72'
Sub
Edwards A. In: Williams A.
Out: Edwards A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Penybont and Colwyn Bay finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Penybont
15%
Draws
38%
Colwyn Bay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colwyn Bay come out ahead of Penybont on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Penybont's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Penybont Clean Sheet 19%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penybont Colwyn Bay
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Colwyn Bay
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Colwyn Bay
0:0
Feb 21, 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont
3:1
Nov 29, 2025 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont
5:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penybont 36 / 100
Colwyn Bay 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penybont Colwyn Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penybont went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Penybont scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Colwyn Bay conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Penybont VS Colwyn Bay
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penybont

(Home)
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6

Colwyn Bay

(Away)
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 26 2 4 81:25 80
2 Connahs Q. 32 16 10 6 61:38 58
3 Barry Town 32 12 10 10 43:33 46
4 Caernarfon 32 12 9 11 56:47 45
5 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 45
6 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 41
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)