Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penybont vs Connahs Q.

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
Penybont Logo

Penybont

0 - 0
FT
Connahs Q. Logo

Connahs Q.

Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Poole D. In: Bratley C.
Out: Poole D.
59'
Sub
Williams N. In: Warlow O.
Out: Williams N.
65'
Hughes R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru Premier 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Penybont
20%
Draws
35%
Connahs Q.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Penybont haven't matched Connahs Q.'s recent run of results.
  • Penybont are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Penybont Clean Sheet 68%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penybont Connahs Q.
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Penybont
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Connahs Q.
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Penybont
4:0
Aug 30, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Connahs Q.
0:1
Jan 4, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Connahs Q.
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penybont 59 / 100
Connahs Q. 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penybont Connahs Q.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penybont Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Penybont stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Penybont's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Connahs Q.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Penybont VS Connahs Q.
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penybont

(Home)
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2
Penybont
Page 1 of 6

Connahs Q.

(Away)
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Haverfordwest
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2
Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 26 2 4 81:25 80
2 Connahs Q. 32 16 10 6 61:38 58
3 Barry Town 32 12 10 10 43:33 46
4 Caernarfon 32 12 9 11 56:47 45
5 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 45
6 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 41
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)