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Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma

Europe Europe

Conference League Cardiff City Stadium
Thu, Jul 9, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penybont play FC Santa Coloma in the Conference League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Penybont averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. FC Santa Coloma averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. In past meetings, Penybont won 0, FC Santa Coloma won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 20, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Penybont and 1.06 for FC Santa Coloma. This points to a FC Santa Coloma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Penybont
6%
Draws
4%
FC Santa Coloma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Santa Coloma has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Penybont.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Penybont.
  • Cup tournament structure in Conference League increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Penybont Clean Sheet 20%
FC Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penybont FC Santa Coloma
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2023 Conference League
FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont
2:0
Jul 13, 2023 Conference League
Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penybont 85 / 100
FC Santa Coloma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penybont FC Santa Coloma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penybont scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

FC Santa Coloma let in goals in 48% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Penybont went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Santa Coloma lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penybont VS FC Santa Coloma
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
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Pyunik Yerevan-
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Europa FC-
Shkendija Tetovo-
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Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
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Noah-
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Motherwell-
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Paks-
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LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
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Koper-
Partizan-
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Basaksehir-
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HJK-
Coleraine-
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Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
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Apollon Limassol-
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Brann-
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Dun. Streda-
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FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
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Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
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Rapid Vienna-
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CFR Cluj-
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CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
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