Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Penybont

0 - 1

FC Santa Coloma

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Lopez G.

Assist: Munoz P.

26'

Sub

Borge B. In: Pritchard O.

Out: Borge B.

46'

Sub

Venables C. In: Cann E.

Out: Venables C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Santa Coloma in this Conference League tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Penybont

17%

Draws

13%

FC Santa Coloma

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

FC Santa Coloma have won more games recently than Penybont.
Penybont are the model's pick here, at 70%.
FC Santa Coloma arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor FC Santa Coloma, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
FC Santa Coloma have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Penybont Clean Sheet 68%

FC Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Penybont	FC Santa Coloma
Matches Played	29	26
Wins	9	16
Draws	6	3
Losses	14	7
Goals Scored	0.63	1.25
Goals Conceded	1	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League

FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont

3:0

Jul 9, 2026 Conference League

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma

0:1

Jul 20, 2023 Conference League

FC Santa Coloma vs Penybont

2:0

Jul 13, 2023 Conference League

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penybont Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

FC Santa Coloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penybont 77 / 100

FC Santa Coloma 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Penybont FC Santa Coloma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Penybont has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Santa Coloma's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Penybont scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Penybont VS FC Santa Coloma

0.63 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penybont

(Home)

16 Jul

FC Santa Coloma

3 : 0

Penybont

09 Jul

Penybont

0 : 1

FC Santa Coloma

23 Jun

Trethomas Bluebirds

0 : 3

Penybont

02 May

Penybont

2 : 0

Haverfordwest

25 Apr

Colwyn Bay

0 : 1

Penybont

Page 1 of 6

FC Santa Coloma

(Away)

16 Jul

FC Santa Coloma

3 : 0

Penybont

09 Jul

Penybont

0 : 1

FC Santa Coloma

23 May

FC Santa Coloma

2 : 3

Atletic Escaldes

16 May

FC Rangers

2 : 0

FC Santa Coloma

10 May

FC Santa Coloma

0 : 1

Ordino

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana-

TBD-

Drita-

Borac Banja Luka-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

TBD-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TBD-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar-

TBD-

Riga FC-

Bissen-

TBD-

Gyor-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo2

Inter Turku3

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar2

Atletic Escaldes4

Mondorf2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Petrovac2

Zalgiris5

TBD-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen3

La Fiorita0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Vojvodina-

TBD-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju3

Linfield2

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana4

FC Astana2

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

AF Elbasani1

BATE2

TBD-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk2

Sileks1

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Decic1

FK Liepaja3

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert4

Yelimay Semey3

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

TBD-

Brann-

Dila Gori3

Virtus2

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik3

Hamrun2

TBD-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

TBD-

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva6

TBD-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo6

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia10

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond4

Zira FK6

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma4

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.2

FC Ballkani3

TBD-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan4

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Glentoran1

RFS4

TBD-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

TBD-

Derry City-

Vikingur3

Stjarnan5

Differdange1

Ilves3

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar2

Milsami1

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana-

Drita-

Borac Banja Luka-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar-

Riga FC-

Bissen-

Gyor-

Basaksehir-

Inter Turku-

Vaduz-

Atletic Escaldes-

Dinamo Tbilisi-

Zalgiris-

TBD-

Partizan-

UNA Strassen-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Vojvodina-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

Kalju-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

Dinamo Tirana-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

BATE-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

Braga-

Neftci Baku-

Din. Minsk-

Valur-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

FK Liepaja-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

Brann-

Dila Gori-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

TBD-

HJK-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

Malisheva-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

Shkendija Tetovo-

IFK Goteborg-

Levadia-

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Zira FK-

FC Santa Coloma-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians-

FC Ballkani-

TBD-

Debrecen-

Pyunik Yerevan-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

RFS-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

Derry City-

Stjarnan-

Ilves-

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

Velez Mostar-

TBD-

Semi-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

TBD-

Final

TBD-