Sport Picks
Penybont vs Flint Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Bryntirion Park, Bridgend 
Match Events
8'
8'
Mehew T.
40'
40'
Kane N.
45'
45'
Manga M.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between Penybont and Flint Town finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penybont
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Penybont come out ahead of Flint Town on wins alone.
- Model gives Penybont a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Penybont Clean Sheet 20%
Flint Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penybont | Flint Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Flint Town
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Penybont vs Flint Town
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Cymru Premier
Flint Town vs Penybont
3:4
Sep 13, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Flint Town
5:0
Nov 9, 2024 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Flint Town
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Penybont Compare
Top Goalscorer Mehew T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Flint Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendes L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penybont 85 / 100
Flint Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penybont Flint Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penybont Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Penybont found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Flint Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Penybont remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Penybont VS Flint Town
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Penybont
(Home) 18 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 3 Penybont
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1 Barry Town
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1 Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1 Barry Town
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1 Airbus UK Broughton FC
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
28 Aug
Penybont
1 : 1 Flint Town
Page 1 of 3
Flint Town
(Away) 17 Oct
Flint Town
1 : 3 Caernarfon
10 Oct
Flint Town
0 : 1 Colwyn Bay
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1 Flint Town
26 Sept
Flint Town
3 : 0 Ammanford Town
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1 Flint Town
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1 Flint Town
18 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
4 : 1 Flint Town
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0 Flint Town
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Flint Town
28 Aug
Penybont
1 : 1 Flint Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44:6 | 37 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30:9 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25:11 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:33 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:23 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford Town | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:32 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:25 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8:31 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14:44 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
