Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penybont vs TNS

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
Penybont Logo

Penybont

1 - 2
FT
TNS Logo

TNS

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Venables C.
23'
Redmond D.
30' Event
Brobbel R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Penybont and TNS finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TNS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Penybont
30%
Draws
37%
TNS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • TNS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TNS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Penybont Clean Sheet 20%
TNS Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penybont TNS
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs TNS
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs TNS
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Penybont
6:0
Oct 11, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Penybont
6:2
Aug 16, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs TNS
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penybont Compare

Top Goalscorer Venables C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

TNS Compare

Top Goalscorer Brobbel R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penybont 36 / 100
TNS 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penybont TNS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TNS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Penybont stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Penybont scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

TNS has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penybont VS TNS
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penybont

(Home)
21 Aug
Penybont
2 : 1
Llandudno FC
14 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3
Penybont
07 Aug
Caernarfon
1 : 2
Penybont
02 Aug
Penybont
0 : 0
TNS
16 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
3 : 0
Penybont
Page 1 of 6

TNS

(Away)
21 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 5
TNS
14 Aug
TNS
1 : 0
Briton Ferry
07 Aug
TNS
2 : 0
Haverfordwest
02 Aug
Penybont
0 : 0
TNS
30 Jul
TNS
1 : 1
Flora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 32 26 2 4 81:25 80
2 Connahs Q. 32 16 10 6 61:38 58
3 Barry Town 32 12 10 10 43:33 46
4 Caernarfon 32 12 9 11 56:47 45
5 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 45
6 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 41
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)