Sport Picks
Penydarren vs Carmarthen Town
Wales
FA Cup 2024/2025 
Match Events
39'
39'
Lloyd A.
45'
45'
Daley N.
(Penalty)
73'
73'
Booth R.
AI Match Summary
Carmarthen Town in this FA Cup 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carmarthen Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Carmarthen Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Carmarthen Town have won more games recently than Penydarren.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Carmarthen Town taking it.
- Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Penydarren Clean Sheet 20%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penydarren | Carmarthen Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 38 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 14 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2024 FA Cup
Penydarren vs Carmarthen Town
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Penydarren Compare
Top Goalscorer Lloyd A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Carmarthen Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Booth R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penydarren 16 / 100
Carmarthen Town 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penydarren Carmarthen Town
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Penydarren scored in 87% of their last 15 games.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Carmarthen Town let in goals in 68% of their last 38 matches.
Away concern: Carmarthen Town has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Carmarthen Town
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Corries4
Risca United1
TBD-
Afan Lido-
Llantwit Major3
Ely Rangers2
Caldicot1
Morriston Town2
Cambrian United-
TBD-
TBD-
Goytre Utd-
Llandudno FC4
Llanberis FC0
Kinmel Bay3
Brickfield Rangers1
Penydarren4
Porthcawl Town3
TBD-
Pontypridd United-
Penrhiwceiber Rangers3
Cwmbran Town1
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Llandudno Amateurs0
Holyhead4
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Llannefydd1
Rhydymwyn0
Trearddur Bay2
NFA1
Penybont-
TBD-
TBD-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TNS-
TBD-
St. Asaph0
Llangollen2
Buckley7
Builth2
TBD-
Colwyn Bay-
Holywell Town FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Ruthin Town-
Queens Park1
Porthmadog6
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Goytre AFC3
Pencoed1
St Joseph's0
Cardiff Draconians3
Caersws FC5
Cefn Albion0
Rhyl2
Flint Mountain1
Bangor 1876-
TBD-
Corwen0
Llay Welfare1
Barry Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Caerau Ely-
Cardiff Bay Warriors2
West End0
Ynysygerwn1
Rogerstone3
Flint Town-
TBD-
Gresford9
Prestatyn0
Bala-
TBD-
Carno FC0
Llanrhaeadr4
Cwmbran Celtic3
Trefelin4
Newport Corinthians1
Llwydcoed0
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
TBD-
Guilsfield-
Penrhyncoch2
Talysarn Celts1
TBD-
Mold Alexandra-
New Inn2
Abertillery Bluebirds1
TBD-
Briton Ferry-
Llanrwst United5
Menai Bridge Tigers1
Llansannan0
Cerrigydrudion2
Denbigh-
TBD-
Llangefni7
Gaerwen1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix1
Llanuwchllyn2
TBD-
Newtown-
Aber Valley3
Cwmamman United1
Pure Swansea5
Baglan Dragons0
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
Ammanford Town-
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
Taffs Well0
Trethomas Bluebirds1
Treherbert1
Clwb Cymric2
TBD-
Llanelli-
Newport City0
Monmouth2
Chepstow Town0
Pill1
1/32-finals
Cardiff Corries3
Afan Lido4
Llantwit Major1
Morriston Town2
Cambrian United1
Goytre Utd0
Llandudno FC4
Kinmel Bay3
Penydarren2
Pontypridd United0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers3
Carmarthen Town4
Holyhead1
Caernarfon0
Llannefydd1
Trearddur Bay2
Penybont0
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
TNS16
Llangollen0
Buckley2
Colwyn Bay3
Holywell Town FC1
Ruthin Town2
Porthmadog0
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Goytre AFC1
Cardiff Draconians0
Caersws FC7
Rhyl4
Bangor 18762
Llay Welfare1
Barry Town3
Caerau Ely4
Cardiff Bay Warriors2
Rogerstone4
Flint Town5
Gresford1
Bala3
Llanrhaeadr1
Trefelin5
Newport Corinthians0
Connahs Q.5
Guilsfield0
Penrhyncoch1
Mold Alexandra3
New Inn0
Briton Ferry3
Llanrwst United2
Cerrigydrudion1
Denbigh4
Llangefni2
Llanuwchllyn1
Newtown0
Aber Valley0
Pure Swansea2
Aberystwyth0
Ammanford Town1
Haverfordwest1
Trethomas Bluebirds0
Clwb Cymric0
Llanelli3
Monmouth2
Pill3
1/16-finals
Afan Lido2
Morriston Town1
Cambrian United3
Llandudno FC2
Penydarren2
Carmarthen Town3
Holyhead1
Trearddur Bay0
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
TNS3
Colwyn Bay2
Ruthin Town1
Airbus UK Broughton FC7
Goytre AFC1
Caersws FC2
Bangor 18761
Caerau Ely8
Rogerstone1
Flint Town2
Bala3
Trefelin1
Connahs Q.2
Mold Alexandra2
Briton Ferry1
Llanrwst United0
Denbigh3
Llanuwchllyn3
Pure Swansea0
Ammanford Town1
Haverfordwest2
Llanelli4
Pill0
1/8-finals
Afan Lido0
Cambrian United1
Carmarthen Town1
Holyhead0
TNS4
Colwyn Bay1
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Caersws FC0
Caerau Ely1
Bala0
Connahs Q.1
Mold Alexandra0
Denbigh7
Llanuwchllyn1
Haverfordwest0
Llanelli2
Quarter-finals
Cambrian United3
Carmarthen Town1
TNS5
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
Caerau Ely0
Connahs Q.2
Denbigh0
Llanelli1
Semi-finals
Cambrian United0
TNS5
Connahs Q.2
Llanelli1
Final
TNS2
Connahs Q.1