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Penydarren vs Goytre AFC

Wales Wales

Division 1
Sat, Mar 14, 2020
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penydarren host Goytre AFC in the Division 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Penydarren at 1.88 goals for, 2.13 against; Goytre AFC at 2.05 for, 2.05 against. Head-to-head, Penydarren have won 0 to Goytre AFC's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.50 xG vs 1.69) point toward Penydarren. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Penydarren
15%
Draws
42%
Goytre AFC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penydarren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Goytre AFC at 2.05 per game, Penydarren at 1.88.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Penydarren taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Penydarren Clean Sheet 13%
Goytre AFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penydarren Goytre AFC
Matches Played 16 20
Wins 9 9
Draws 1 3
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.88 2.05
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.05
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2020 Division 1
Penydarren vs Goytre AFC
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Division 1
Goytre AFC vs Penydarren
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penydarren 48 / 100
Goytre AFC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penydarren Goytre AFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penydarren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penydarren's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Defensive concern: Goytre AFC conceded in 85% of 20 recent games.

Goytre AFC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Penydarren VS Goytre AFC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Penydarren

(Home)
20 Sept
Penydarren
0 : 5
Caerau Ely
16 Nov
Penydarren
2 : 3
Carmarthen Town
18 Oct
Penydarren
2 : 0
Pontypridd United
21 Sept
Penydarren
4 : 3
Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3
South Gower AFC
Page 1 of 4

Goytre AFC

(Away)
07 Jul
Barry Town
3 : 1
Goytre AFC
09 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
28 Jun
Baglan Dragons
5 : 1
Goytre AFC
16 Nov
Airbus UK Broughton FC
7 : 1
Goytre AFC
22 Oct
Goytre AFC
1 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 20 17 3 0 64:23 54
2 Port Talbot 18 10 5 3 33:16 35
3 Risca United 16 10 3 3 32:24 33
4 Goytre AFC 18 9 5 4 46:22 32
5 Garden Village 20 8 5 7 25:29 29
6 Caldicot 18 8 2 8 27:25 26
7 Penydarren 13 7 3 3 26:22 24
8 Ton Pentre 19 6 4 9 31:42 22
9 Bridgend Street 15 6 3 6 35:25 21
10 Pontardawe 16 5 4 7 22:28 19
11 Abergavenny Town 20 5 3 12 25:42 18
12 Aberbargoed Buds 15 4 4 7 25:31 16
13 Monmouth 17 4 2 11 27:39 14
14 Llwydcoed 16 3 5 8 20:33 14
15 Croesyceiliog FC 13 3 4 6 19:27 13
16 Dinas Powys 18 2 3 13 28:57 9
Promotion - Cymru South 2020/2021 (Main)