Sport Picks
Penydarren vs South Gower AFC Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
FA Cup 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-3, with South Gower AFC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Gower AFC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Penydarren carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Penydarren have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor South Gower AFC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Penydarren Clean Sheet 20%
South Gower AFC Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penydarren | South Gower AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 15 | 6 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Penydarren vs South Gower AFC
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penydarren 36 / 100
South Gower AFC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penydarren South Gower AFC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick South Gower AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Penydarren found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (15 games).
South Gower AFC let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Penydarren stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Penydarren VS South Gower AFC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.6
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.2
25% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Penydarren
(Home) 20 Sept
Penydarren
0 : 5 Caerau Ely
16 Nov
Penydarren
2 : 3 Carmarthen Town
18 Oct
Penydarren
2 : 0 Pontypridd United
21 Sept
Penydarren
4 : 3 Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3 South Gower AFC
Page 1 of 3
20 Sept
Penydarren
0 : 5 Caerau Ely
16 Nov
Penydarren
2 : 3 Carmarthen Town
18 Oct
Penydarren
2 : 0 Pontypridd United
21 Sept
Penydarren
4 : 3 Porthcawl Town
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3 South Gower AFC
Page 1 of 3
South Gower AFC
(Away) 09 Dec
Flint Mountain
2 : 1 South Gower AFC
11 Nov
South Gower AFC
3 : 2 Chepstow Town
14 Oct
South Gower AFC
1 : 0 Rockspur
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3 South Gower AFC
11 Sept
Newcastle Emlyn
4 : 0 South Gower AFC
Page 1 of 2
09 Dec
Flint Mountain
2 : 1 South Gower AFC
16 Sept
Penydarren
2 : 3 South Gower AFC
11 Sept
Newcastle Emlyn
4 : 0 South Gower AFC
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penrhyncoch 2
Chirk AAA FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Glantraeth FC 0
Newport City 0
Abergavenny Town 2
Cardiff Airport 3
Cefn Fforest 1
Rhyl 1
Menai Bridge Tigers 2
Tregaron Turfs 2
Llanuwchllyn 10
Corwen 0
Bow Street 4
TBD -
Buckley -
Penparcau FC 0
Cefn Albion 1
Holyhead 0
Bangor 1876 4
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Flint Town -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
St. Asaph 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Cardiff Corries 2
Caerau Ely 3
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llanidloes Town 5
Builth 4
Radnor Valley 0
Gresford 4
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontardawe -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
NFA 0
Flint Mountain 3
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Canton 3
Sully Sports 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penydarren 2
South Gower AFC 3
Rockspur 4
Afan United 2
Chepstow Town 7
Pill 0
Abercarn United 4
St Albans 1
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Baglan Dragons 5
Cwmaman Institute 1
Goytre Utd 1
Trefelin 3
Ammanford Town 1
Taffs Well 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Aber Valley 2
Cwmbran Town 3
Mochdre Sports 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 13
Montgomery 1
Pwllheli 1
Felinheli 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
Llanrwst United 2
Conwy Borough 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
Treharris Athletic 1
Porthcawl Town 2
Brickfield Rangers 3
Caersws FC 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Penycae FC 1
Rhos Aelwyd 4
Aberfan 2
Pontyclun FC 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cwmbran Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Mumbles Rangers 1
Evans Williams 2
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
Caerphilly 1
Ruthin Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Trethomas Bluebirds 4
Ely Rangers 1
Llantwit Fardre 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4
1/32-finals
Chirk AAA FC 1
Porthmadog 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Cardiff Airport 3
Menai Bridge Tigers 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Bow Street 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor 1876 7
Denbigh 0
Flint Town 3
Connahs Q. 4
Caernarfon 1
St. Asaph 0
Prestatyn 1
Caerau Ely 4
Afan Lido 0
Llanidloes Town 1
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 2
Pontardawe 1
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Mountain 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Canton 2
Cambrian United 1
South Gower AFC 1
Rockspur 0
Chepstow Town 4
Abercarn United 0
Haverfordwest 1
Baglan Dragons 0
Trefelin 2
Ammanford Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Cwmbran Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Felinheli 0
Newtown 6
Colwyn Bay 6
Llanrwst United 2
Barry Town 6
Porthcawl Town 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Guilsfield 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Aberfan 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanelli 4
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Evans Williams 0
Pontypridd United -
Abertillery Bluebirds -
Ruthin Town 0
TNS 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 5
Cardiff Airport 1
Llanuwchllyn 1
Buckley 2
Bangor 1876 1
Flint Town 2
Connahs Q. 8
Prestatyn 0
Caerau Ely 4
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 0
Bala 1
Flint Mountain 2
Canton 1
South Gower AFC 3
Chepstow Town 2
Haverfordwest 2
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Newtown 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Briton Ferry 2
Llanelli 4
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
TNS 7
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 0
Buckley 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 3
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 4
Flint Mountain 2
South Gower AFC 1
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Llanelli 0
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 3
Quarter-finals
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Bala 3
Flint Mountain 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Briton Ferry 1
TNS 5
Semi-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Bala 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 6
Final
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 1
