Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penza vs Arsenal Tula 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Penza and Arsenal Tula 2 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Penza
30%
Draws
18%
Arsenal Tula 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Penza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Penza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Penza are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Penza Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penza Arsenal Tula 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 2 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 2 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Arsenal Tula 2
0:0
May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Penza
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Penza
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Penza
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 49 / 100
Arsenal Tula 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penza Arsenal Tula 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula 2 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Penza scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Penza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS Arsenal Tula 2
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
05 Sept
Penza
2 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
22 Aug
Penza
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
15 Aug
Kursk
1 : 0
Penza
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Tula 2

(Away)
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
06 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Strogino Moscow
29 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk 2
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
23 Aug
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
15 Aug
Spartak Tambov
1 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
Page 1 of 6