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Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Vinnikov I.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Poptsov M.
65' Event
Boyarkin N.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Penza and Salyut-Belgorod finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salyut-Belgorod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Penza
15%
Draws
42%
Salyut-Belgorod
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salyut-Belgorod come out ahead of Penza on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Penza Clean Sheet 20%
Salyut-Belgorod Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penza Salyut-Belgorod
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Salyut-Belgorod vs Penza
2:0
Aug 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod
2:2
Apr 28, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Salyut-Belgorod vs Penza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penza Compare

Top Goalscorer Poptsov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Salyut-Belgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyarkin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 32 / 100
Salyut-Belgorod 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penza Salyut-Belgorod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penza scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Salyut-Belgorod's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Penza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS Salyut-Belgorod
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
05 Sept
Penza
2 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
22 Aug
Penza
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
15 Aug
Kursk
1 : 0
Penza
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Salyut-Belgorod

(Away)
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
05 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
28 Aug
Ryazan
1 : 0
Salyut-Belgorod
22 Aug
Salyut-Belgorod
1 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
15 Aug
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
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