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Penza vs Spartak Tambov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Skripnikov D.

AI Match Summary

Penza in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Penza
30%
Draws
61%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Spartak Tambov have won more games recently than Penza.
  • Spartak Tambov are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Penza Clean Sheet 17%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penza Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 22
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Spartak Tambov
1:0
May 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Penza
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Penza
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Spartak Tambov
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Spartak Tambov
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penza Compare

Top Goalscorer Skripnikov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Spartak Tambov Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 10 / 100
Spartak Tambov 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penza Spartak Tambov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Tambov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penza found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Spartak Tambov let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Penza remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS Spartak Tambov
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)
03 Oct
M. Lipetsk
2 : 0
Penza
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Penza
1 : 1
Saturn Ramenskoye
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
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Spartak Tambov

(Away)
03 Oct
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
19 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
2 : 2
Spartak Tambov
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
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