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Penza vs Spartak Tambov

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penza host Spartak Tambov in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Penza at 1.04 goals for, 1.96 against; Spartak Tambov at 1.66 for, 0.83 against. Past meetings favor Spartak Tambov slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.00 - 2.06) back Spartak Tambov to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Penza
15%
Draws
57%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Tambov have won more games recently than Penza.
  • Spartak Tambov are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penza Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 22
Draws 2 2
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 1.04 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.96 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Penza
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Penza
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Spartak Tambov
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Spartak Tambov
0:1
Jun 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Penza
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 22 / 100
Spartak Tambov 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penza Spartak Tambov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Tambov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penza found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Spartak Tambov has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Penza remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS Spartak Tambov
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)
08 Aug
Penza
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
29 Jul
SKA Rostov-on-Don
3 : 2
Penza
25 Jul
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Penza
01 Jul
Penza
1 : 2
Salyut-Belgorod
27 Jun
Penza
3 : 1
FC Oryol
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Spartak Tambov

(Away)
12 Aug
Spartak Tambov
2 : 1
SKA Rostov-on-Don
08 Aug
Spartak Tambov
0 : 1
Strogino Moscow
01 Aug
Spartak Tambov
2 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk 2
25 Jul
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 2
Spartak Tambov
04 Jul
Kursk
0 : 2
Spartak Tambov
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