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Penza vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penza host Volna Nizhegorodskaya in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Penza have averaged 1.13 scored and 2.75 conceded recently, against Volna Nizhegorodskaya's 2.38 scored and 0.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Penza have won 0 to Volna Nizhegorodskaya's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 2.56) point toward Volna Nizhegorodskaya. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Penza
6%
Draws
90%
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Volna Nizhegorodskaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Volna Nizhegorodskaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Volna Nizhegorodskaya a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Penza Clean Sheet 10%
Volna Nizhegorodskaya Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penza Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Penza
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 10 / 100
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penza Volna Nizhegorodskaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Penza scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Volna Nizhegorodskaya conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Penza stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)
25 Jul
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Penza
01 Jul
Penza
1 : 2
Salyut-Belgorod
27 Jun
Penza
3 : 1
FC Oryol
20 Jun
Rodina Moscow 3
9 : 1
Penza
13 Jun
Penza
2 : 3
M. Lipetsk
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Volna Nizhegorodskaya

(Away)
25 Jul
Strogino Moscow
2 : 0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
04 Jul
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
3 : 3
FK Shumbrat Saransk
27 Jun
Spartak Tambov
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
20 Jun
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
Kursk
13 Jun
Saturn Ramenskoye
0 : 3
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
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