Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penza vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gogrichiani G.
45' Event
Gogrichiani G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Penza and Volna Nizhegorodskaya finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Volna Nizhegorodskaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Penza
15%
Draws
51%
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volna Nizhegorodskaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Volna Nizhegorodskaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Volna Nizhegorodskaya a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Penza Clean Sheet 20%
Volna Nizhegorodskaya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penza Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 24
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 1.11 2
Goals Conceded 1.78 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Volna Nizhegorodskaya vs Penza
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Volna Nizhegorodskaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogrichiani G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penza 12 / 100
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penza Volna Nizhegorodskaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Volna Nizhegorodskaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Penza scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Solid form: Penza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Volna Nizhegorodskaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 29% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penza VS Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penza

(Home)
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Strogino Moscow
3 : 0
Penza
05 Sept
Penza
2 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
29 Aug
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 3
Penza
22 Aug
Penza
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
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Volna Nizhegorodskaya

(Away)
17 Sept
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
13 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
30 Aug
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1 : 0
FC Oryol
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