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Penzugyor SE vs Dombovari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Horvath A.
25' Event
Szabo L.
45' Event
Demeter G.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Penzugyor SE and Dombovari finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penzugyor SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Penzugyor SE
15%
Draws
0%
Dombovari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penzugyor SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Penzugyor SE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Penzugyor SE a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Penzugyor SE Clean Sheet 18%
Dombovari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penzugyor SE Dombovari
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 18 28
Goals Scored 1.03 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Penzugyor SE vs Dombovari
4:1
Aug 31, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Dombovari vs Penzugyor SE
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penzugyor SE Compare

Top Goalscorer Szabo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Demeter G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Dombovari Compare

Top Goalscorer Horvath A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penzugyor SE 85 / 100
Dombovari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penzugyor SE Dombovari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penzugyor SE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dombovari has conceded goals in 100% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Dombovari lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Penzugyor SE found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Penzugyor SE VS Dombovari
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penzugyor SE

(Home)
22 Aug
Penzugyor SE
1 : 2
Harta SE
24 May
Pecsi MFC
1 : 0
Penzugyor SE
17 May
Penzugyor SE
2 : 2
Szekszardi
10 May
Majosi
4 : 0
Penzugyor SE
03 May
Penzugyor SE
1 : 3
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 6

Dombovari

(Away)
24 May
Kaposvar
6 : 2
Dombovari
17 May
Dombovari
1 : 5
Siofok
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
03 May
Dombovari
0 : 8
Nagykanizsa FC
26 Apr
Ivancsa
3 : 0
Dombovari
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)