Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penzugyor SE vs Ivancsa

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Szilvasi Z.
20' Event
Botond K.
74' Event
Szilvasi Z.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Penzugyor SE
15%
Draws
78%
Ivancsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivancsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ivancsa lately — more wins on the board than Penzugyor SE.
  • Ivancsa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Penzugyor SE Clean Sheet 14%
Ivancsa Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penzugyor SE Ivancsa
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Penzugyor SE vs Ivancsa
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Ivancsa vs Penzugyor SE
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Ivancsa vs Penzugyor SE
2:1
Aug 6, 2023 Hungarian Cup
Penzugyor SE vs Ivancsa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penzugyor SE Compare

Top Goalscorer Botond K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balazs B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.56
Avg xA / game 0.36

Ivancsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Szilvasi Z.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penzugyor SE 10 / 100
Ivancsa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penzugyor SE Ivancsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivancsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivancsa let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Penzugyor SE found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Penzugyor SE remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penzugyor SE VS Ivancsa
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penzugyor SE

(Home)
24 May
Pecsi MFC
1 : 0
Penzugyor SE
17 May
Penzugyor SE
2 : 2
Szekszardi
10 May
Majosi
4 : 0
Penzugyor SE
03 May
Penzugyor SE
1 : 3
Kaposvar
26 Apr
Siofok
2 : 0
Penzugyor SE
Page 1 of 6

Ivancsa

(Away)
21 Aug
Erdi
0 : 3
Ivancsa
15 Aug
Paks II
0 : 2
Ivancsa
12 Aug
Budaorsi SC
3 : 1
Ivancsa
25 Jul
Ivancsa
4 : 0
Szekszardi
24 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 3
Ivancsa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)