Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penzugyor SE vs Pecsi MFC

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bukovics A.
37' Event
Csorgo R.
42' Event
Stoiacovici D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Pecsi MFC in this NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pecsi MFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Penzugyor SE
15%
Draws
80%
Pecsi MFC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pecsi MFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pecsi MFC have won more games recently than Penzugyor SE.
  • Pecsi MFC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Penzugyor SE Clean Sheet 10%
Pecsi MFC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penzugyor SE Pecsi MFC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 26
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.03 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.03 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Pecsi MFC vs Penzugyor SE
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Penzugyor SE vs Pecsi MFC
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penzugyor SE Compare

Top Goalscorer Csoma-Laszlo B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Pecsi MFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bukovics A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Csorgo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penzugyor SE 10 / 100
Pecsi MFC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penzugyor SE Pecsi MFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pecsi MFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Penzugyor SE scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Pecsi MFC has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Penzugyor SE stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penzugyor SE VS Pecsi MFC
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penzugyor SE

(Home)
22 Aug
Penzugyor SE
1 : 2
Harta SE
24 May
Pecsi MFC
1 : 0
Penzugyor SE
17 May
Penzugyor SE
2 : 2
Szekszardi
10 May
Majosi
4 : 0
Penzugyor SE
03 May
Penzugyor SE
1 : 3
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 6

Pecsi MFC

(Away)
19 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
MTK Budapest II
12 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 2
Tiszakecske
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
30 Aug
Pecsi MFC
7 : 0
Ivancsa
26 Aug
Erdi
1 : 2
Pecsi MFC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)