Sport Picks
Match Events
59'
59'
Gomez J.
73'
73'
Persenico L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Peoria IL advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peoria IL
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Thunder Bay Chill haven't matched Peoria IL's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Peoria IL have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Peoria IL, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Peoria IL Clean Sheet 20%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Peoria IL | Thunder Bay Chill |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 32 |
| Wins | 25 | 22 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.71 | 2.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.92 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 20, 2024 USL League Two
Peoria IL vs Thunder Bay Chill
2:0
Jul 4, 2022 USL League Two
Peoria IL vs Thunder Bay Chill
3:0
Jun 10, 2022 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Peoria IL
1:1
Jul 2, 2020 USL League Two
Peoria IL vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:0
Jun 20, 2020 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs Peoria IL
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Peoria IL Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Persenico L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96
Thunder Bay Chill Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Peoria IL 31 / 100
Thunder Bay Chill 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Peoria IL Thunder Bay Chill
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Peoria IL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Peoria IL scored in 94% of their last 34 games.
Thunder Bay Chill let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.
Solid form: Peoria IL remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Peoria IL VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Peoria IL
(Home) 24 Jul
Flint City
4 : 0 Peoria IL
19 Jul
Peoria IL
4 : 0 Minneapolis City
17 Jul
Peoria IL
3 : 2 Sueno
12 Jul
Peoria IL
5 : 1 Springfield FC
08 Jul
Sunflower State
1 : 3 Peoria IL
Page 1 of 7
19 Jul
Peoria IL
4 : 0 Minneapolis City
17 Jul
Peoria IL
3 : 2 Sueno
12 Jul
Peoria IL
5 : 1 Springfield FC
03 Jul
Peoria IL
1 : 4 St. Louis Ambush
24 Jun
Peoria IL
2 : 0 St. Louis Ambush
Page 1 of 4
Thunder Bay Chill
(Away) 20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0 Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1 Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2 Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0 Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2 Minneapolis City
Page 1 of 7
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0 Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1 Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2 Thunder Bay Chill
29 Jun
Bavarian United SC
1 : 3 Thunder Bay Chill
28 Jun
RKC SC
0 : 1 Thunder Bay Chill
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Peoria IL 2
Thunder Bay Chill 0
Menace 2
Bavarian United SC 0
Flint City 1
Cleveland Force 0
Fort Wayne 1
Midwest United 0
Ballard 1
Project 51O 2
Almaden 0
United PDX 1
Tucson 3
Flatirons 2
Ventura 2
Albion Colorado 1
Lionsbridge 2
Western Pioneers 1
Salem City 3
Virginia Beach United 2
Ocean City 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
Long Island 1
Vermont Green 3
Asheville City 4
Nona 0
Brave SC 2
Sarasota Paradise 1
Little Rock Rangers 5
AHFC Royals 2
Corpus Christi FC 5
Tennessee 3
1/8-finals
Peoria IL 6
Menace 5
Flint City 2
Fort Wayne 1
Project 51O 5
United PDX 4
Tucson 1
Ventura 0
Lionsbridge 2
Salem City 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 3
Vermont Green 0
Asheville City 2
Brave SC 1
Little Rock Rangers 1
Corpus Christi FC 2
Quarter-finals
Peoria IL 1
Flint City 0
Project 51O 1
Tucson 2
Lionsbridge 3
Seacoast United Phantoms 6
Asheville City 1
Corpus Christi FC 0
Semi-finals
Peoria IL 5
Tucson 1
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
Asheville City 0
Final
Peoria IL 2
Seacoast United Phantoms 3
