Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pepingen-Halle vs Renaissance Mons

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2022/2023
Sun, Aug 7, 2022
0 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pepingen-Halle play Renaissance Mons in the Belgian Cup 2022/2023. Renaissance Mons are favorites here. Recently, Pepingen-Halle averaged 1.06 goals scored and 2 conceded. Renaissance Mons averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Pepingen-Halle won 0, Renaissance Mons won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Pepingen-Halle and 1.00 for Renaissance Mons. This points to a Renaissance Mons double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Pepingen-Halle
25%
Draws
60%
Renaissance Mons
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Renaissance Mons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Pepingen-Halle picked up more points recently compared to Renaissance Mons.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Pepingen-Halle Clean Sheet 23%
Renaissance Mons Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pepingen-Halle Renaissance Mons
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.06 1.8
Goals Conceded 2 0.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2022 Belgian Cup
Pepingen-Halle vs Renaissance Mons
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pepingen-Halle 18 / 100
Renaissance Mons 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pepingen-Halle Renaissance Mons

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renaissance Mons Win (2)
Secondary Pick Renaissance Mons & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pepingen-Halle attacking → ← attacking Renaissance Mons

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pepingen-Halle scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Renaissance Mons let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Pepingen-Halle went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Renaissance Mons lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 59
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63