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Perak vs Sabah

Malaysia Malaysia

MFL Challenge Cup Perak Stadium, Ipoh
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Perak
15%
Draws
48%
Sabah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sabah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sabah haven't matched Perak's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Perak have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sabah, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Perak Clean Sheet 20%
Sabah Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perak Sabah
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 MFL Challenge Cup
Sabah vs Perak
1:0
Mar 4, 2026 MFL Challenge Cup
Perak vs Sabah
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Super League
Sabah vs Perak
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Super League
Perak vs Sabah
2:4
Dec 3, 2023 Super League
Perak vs Sabah
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perak 32 / 100
Sabah 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perak Sabah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sabah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Perak scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Perak stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perak VS Sabah
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Perak

(Home)
11 Mar
Sabah
1 : 0
Perak
04 Mar
Perak
0 : 0
Sabah
13 Feb
Perak
3 : 2
Damansara
06 Feb
Damansara
0 : 1
Perak
25 Jan
Kuala Lumpur City
3 : 0
Perak
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Sabah

(Away)
15 Aug
Sabah
0 : 3
Persib Bandung
13 Aug
Bali United
1 : 2
Sabah
15 May
Sabah
0 : 1
Terengganu
09 May
DPMM
0 : 1
Sabah
02 May
Sabah
5 : 1
PDRM FC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sabah 3
PDRM FC 1
Damansara 2
Perak 4
Kelantan Red Warrior 0
Penang 1
Star City 2
Kelantan The Real Warriors 4
Semi-finals
Sabah 1
Perak 0
Penang 6
Kelantan The Real Warriors 2
Final
Sabah 2
Penang 1