Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Perak vs Sri Pahang

Malaysia Malaysia

Malaysia Cup 2024/2025 Perak Stadium, Ipoh
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Sherman K.
39'
Sub
Ariffin A. In: Yusni A.
Out: Ariffin A.
46'
Sub
Manusi I. In: Azih A.
Out: Manusi I.

AI Match Summary

Sri Pahang in this Malaysia Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Perak
20%
Draws
56%
Sri Pahang
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sri Pahang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Perak lately — more wins on the board than Sri Pahang.
  • Sri Pahang are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Perak have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sri Pahang, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Perak Clean Sheet 16%
Sri Pahang Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perak Sri Pahang
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Super League
Perak vs Sri Pahang
0:1
Dec 22, 2024 Malaysia Cup
Sri Pahang vs Perak
3:3
Dec 13, 2024 Malaysia Cup
Perak vs Sri Pahang
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Perak
0:3
Jul 30, 2023 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Perak
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sri Pahang Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherman K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perak 19 / 100
Sri Pahang 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perak Sri Pahang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Pahang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Pahang has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Perak scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Perak stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perak VS Sri Pahang
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Perak

(Home)
09 Sept
Kuala Lumpur City
0 : 0
Perak
01 Sept
Perak
0 : 1
Kuala Lumpur City
11 Mar
Sabah
1 : 0
Perak
04 Mar
Perak
0 : 0
Sabah
13 Feb
Perak
3 : 2
Damansara
Page 1 of 6

Sri Pahang

(Away)
26 Apr
Johor DT
2 : 1
Sri Pahang
19 Apr
Sri Pahang
3 : 2
Penang
12 Apr
Perak
0 : 1
Sri Pahang
08 Apr
Sri Pahang
6 : 0
Kedah
08 Mar
PDRM FC
1 : 3
Sri Pahang
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kuala Lumpur Rovers 0
Johor DT 9
Kedah 4
Kuala Lumpur City 6
Melaka FC 1
Terengganu 4
Negeri Sembilan FA 4
PDRM FC 2
Sri Pahang 3
Selangor 2
Kelantan The Real Warriors 1
Perak 6
Penang 0
Kuching City FC 3
Putrajaya Antlers 0
Sabah 7
Quarter-finals
Johor DT 6
Kuala Lumpur City 1
Terengganu 6
Negeri Sembilan FA 2
Sri Pahang 4
Perak 3
Kuching City FC 0
Sabah 1
Semi-finals
Johor DT 6
Terengganu 1
Sri Pahang 3
Sabah 2
Final
Johor DT 2
Sri Pahang 1