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Peralada vs Montanesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Garcia I.
26' Event
Gomez R.
33' Event
Carreras B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Peralada and Montanesa finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Peralada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Peralada
20%
Draws
42%
Montanesa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montanesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Montanesa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Peralada Clean Sheet 20%
Montanesa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peralada Montanesa
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 3
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Montanesa
5:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Peralada
3:1
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Montanesa
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Montanesa vs Peralada
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs Montanesa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peralada Compare

Top Goalscorer Carreras B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Montanesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peralada 32 / 100
Montanesa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peralada Montanesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Peralada scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Peralada stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Montanesa let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Peralada VS Montanesa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peralada

(Home)
27 Sept
Peralada
3 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
19 Sept
CF Vilanova
1 : 1
Peralada
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
06 Sept
San Cristobal CP
1 : 1
Peralada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
Page 1 of 6

Montanesa

(Away)
27 Sept
CE Europa B
1 : 0
Montanesa
20 Sept
Montanesa
1 : 0
FE Grama
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
06 Sept
Montanesa
3 : 0
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)