Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peralada vs UE Rapitenca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Medina M. S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Peralada in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Peralada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Peralada
30%
Draws
0%
UE Rapitenca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peralada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Peralada at 1.27 per game, UE Rapitenca at 1.25.
  • Model gives Peralada a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Peralada have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Peralada Clean Sheet 68%
UE Rapitenca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peralada UE Rapitenca
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 14 4
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.27 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Rapitenca
1:0
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Rapitenca vs Peralada
0:2
Apr 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Rapitenca vs Peralada
2:1
Dec 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Rapitenca
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peralada 95 / 100
UE Rapitenca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peralada UE Rapitenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peralada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UE Rapitenca conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: UE Rapitenca has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Peralada found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Peralada VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Peralada

(Home)
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
06 Sept
San Cristobal CP
1 : 1
Peralada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 2
Peralada
26 Apr
Peralada
1 : 1
Can Vidalet
Page 1 of 7

UE Rapitenca

(Away)
11 May
UE Rapitenca
1 : 2
FC Lescala
05 May
Girona B
4 : 2
UE Rapitenca
01 May
UE Rapitenca
1 : 2
UE Tona
27 Apr
Reus FC Reddis
3 : 1
UE Rapitenca
24 Apr
UE Rapitenca
0 : 1
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)