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Peremoga Dnipro vs Fenix Mariupol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2021/2022
Peremoga Dnipro Logo

Peremoga Dnipro

3 - 1
FT
Fenix Mariupol Logo

Fenix Mariupol

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Quiche A.
39' Event
Lityuk G.
Own Goal
57' Event
Lityuk G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2021/2022 game between Peremoga Dnipro and Fenix Mariupol finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Peremoga Dnipro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Peremoga Dnipro
30%
Draws
31%
Fenix Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peremoga Dnipro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Peremoga Dnipro haven't matched Fenix Mariupol's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Peremoga Dnipro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Peremoga Dnipro have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Peremoga Dnipro Clean Sheet 19%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peremoga Dnipro Fenix Mariupol
Matches Played 16 35
Wins 10 12
Draws 2 10
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2021 Druha Liga
Peremoga Dnipro vs Fenix Mariupol
3:1
Aug 7, 2021 Druha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Peremoga Dnipro
1:2
Jun 4, 2021 Druha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Peremoga Dnipro
3:0
May 4, 2021 Druha Liga
Peremoga Dnipro vs Fenix Mariupol
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peremoga Dnipro Compare

Top Goalscorer Quiche A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Fenix Mariupol Compare

Top Goalscorer Lityuk G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peremoga Dnipro 36 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peremoga Dnipro Fenix Mariupol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peremoga Dnipro scored in 81% of their last 16 games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Fenix Mariupol has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Solid form: Peremoga Dnipro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fenix Mariupol
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Peremoga Dnipro

(Home)
26 Nov
Peremoga Dnipro
3 : 1
Nova Kakhovka
20 Nov
Krystal
0 : 2
Peremoga Dnipro
14 Nov
Peremoga Dnipro
3 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
06 Nov
SC Poltava
2 : 0
Peremoga Dnipro
30 Oct
Skoruk Tomakovka
1 : 1
Peremoga Dnipro
Page 1 of 4

Fenix Mariupol

(Away)
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karpaty Lviv 18 16 0 2 46:7 48
2 Livyi Bereg 19 15 1 3 47:14 46
3 LNZ Cherkasy 17 13 2 2 36:9 41
4 Dinaz Vyshgorod 19 13 1 5 33:18 40
5 Epitsentr 19 12 1 6 30:19 37
6 Munkacs Mukacheve 19 8 5 6 25:24 29
7 Karpaty Halych 18 7 4 7 23:23 25
8 Nyva Vinnytsya 17 7 4 6 29:20 25
9 Bukovyna 18 6 5 7 20:17 23
10 FC Chernihiv 18 5 5 8 17:24 20
11 Dnipro Cherkasy 18 5 2 11 24:32 17
12 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 19 3 6 10 16:40 15
13 Rubikon Kyiv 19 4 2 13 12:38 14
14 AFSC Kyiv 19 1 5 13 8:38 8
15 Liubomyr Stavyshche 19 1 1 17 8:51 4
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 19 13 6 0 34:7 45
2 Skoruk Tomakovka 20 12 5 3 33:14 41
3 FK Balkany 20 10 9 1 34:14 39
4 Peremoga Dnipro 20 12 3 5 34:14 39
5 Tavriya 19 9 6 4 28:19 33
6 SC Poltava 20 9 4 7 29:27 31
7 Trostyanets 19 9 4 6 34:29 31
8 MFK Mykolaiv 17 8 6 3 35:24 30
9 FC Vovchansk 20 7 6 7 27:25 27
10 Victoria 19 8 3 8 22:23 27
11 Fenix Mariupol 20 6 6 8 36:29 24
12 FC Nikopol 20 5 5 10 22:42 20
13 Nova Kakhovka 20 5 2 13 20:40 17
14 Real Pharma Odesa 20 4 2 14 22:49 14
15 Krystal 20 2 3 15 19:36 9
16 FC Sumy 19 1 2 16 16:53 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)