Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peresvet vs Penza

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Khatuntsev I.
45' Event
Levkin R.

AI Match Summary

Penza in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Peresvet
11%
Draws
80%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Penza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Peresvet haven't matched Penza's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Penza a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Penza have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Peresvet Clean Sheet 19%
Penza Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peresvet Penza
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 22 27
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Peresvet vs Penza
0:1
Jun 10, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Penza vs Peresvet
5:1
Apr 2, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Peresvet vs Penza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peresvet Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Penza Compare

Top Goalscorer Levkin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peresvet 12 / 100
Penza 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peresvet Penza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peresvet found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Penza conceded in 81% of 42 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: Penza registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penza
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peresvet

(Home)
11 Nov
Peresvet
1 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
05 Nov
Saturn Ramenskoye
3 : 1
Peresvet
28 Oct
Peresvet
1 : 2
Kosmos
22 Oct
Kaluga
5 : 0
Peresvet
16 Oct
Peresvet
1 : 3
Khimki 2
Page 1 of 6

Penza

(Away)
29 Jul
SKA Rostov-on-Don
3 : 2
Penza
25 Jul
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Penza
01 Jul
Penza
1 : 2
Salyut-Belgorod
27 Jun
Penza
3 : 1
FC Oryol
20 Jun
Rodina Moscow 3
9 : 1
Penza
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaluga17123250:639
2Sakhalinets17113338:2136
3Spartak Tambov17103426:2233
4Dynamo Vladivostok17100730:2130
5Arsenal Tula 21786324:1630
6FK Kompozit1785428:2029
7Saturn Ramenskoye1792630:1829
8SKA Khabarovsk 21781830:2925
9Penza1774622:2625
10Kosmos1765624:2823
11Sakhalin1772816:1923
12Kvant Obninsk1765619:2723
13Krasnoye Znamya1764718:2622
14Khimki 217611020:2819
15Ryazan17431024:2715
16Strogino Moscow1735928:3614
17FK Kolomna17151117:418
18Peresvet17211421:547
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)