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Perg vs Ostermiething - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perg host Ostermiething in the Oberosterreich. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ostermiething have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Perg have conceded 1 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Perg have won 2 to Ostermiething's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.06) back Perg to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Perg
20%
Draws
33%
Ostermiething
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ostermiething haven't matched Perg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Perg's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Oberosterreich form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Perg Clean Sheet 20%
Ostermiething Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perg Ostermiething
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 13 3
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2 1.84
Goals Conceded 1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Oberosterreich
Ostermiething vs Perg
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Ostermiething
3:0
Apr 25, 2025 Oberosterreich
Ostermiething vs Perg
0:5
Sep 20, 2024 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Ostermiething
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Oberosterreich
Perg vs Ostermiething
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perg 76 / 100
Ostermiething 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perg Ostermiething

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Perg scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Ostermiething has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Perg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Perg VS Ostermiething
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Perg

(Home)
02 Oct
Friedburg
1 : 1
Perg
25 Sept
Perg
3 : 0
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
19 Sept
Andorf
3 : 1
Perg
11 Sept
Perg
2 : 0
Bad Ischl
04 Sept
Pregarten
0 : 2
Perg
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Ostermiething

(Away)
03 Oct
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
1 : 2
Ostermiething
25 Sept
Ostermiething
1 : 3
Andorf
19 Sept
Bad Ischl
2 : 0
Ostermiething
15 Sept
Vocklamarkt
2 : 2
Ostermiething
11 Sept
Ostermiething
3 : 2
Pregarten
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