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Pergocrema vs Portogruaro

Italy Italy

Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Corazza S.
75' Event
De Sena C.
77' Event
Corazza S.

AI Match Summary

Portogruaro in this Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portogruaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Pergocrema
20%
Draws
0%
Portogruaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pergocrema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pergocrema have won more games recently than Portogruaro.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Pergocrema taking it.
  • Regular Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pergocrema Clean Sheet 68%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergocrema Portogruaro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 2
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 0.87 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Pergocrema vs Portogruaro
1:4
Sep 4, 2011 Lega Pro C1/B
Portogruaro vs Pergocrema
0:1
Mar 22, 2009 Lega Pro C1/A
Pergocrema vs Portogruaro
1:1
Oct 26, 2008 Lega Pro C1/A
Portogruaro vs Pergocrema
0:1
Apr 7, 2007 Lega Pro C2/A
Portogruaro vs Pergocrema
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pergocrema Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Portogruaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Corazza S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader De Sena C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergocrema 77 / 100
Portogruaro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergocrema Portogruaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pergocrema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portogruaro conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Portogruaro's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Pergocrema found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Portogruaro
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergocrema

(Home)
06 May
Carrarese
4 : 1
Pergocrema
29 Apr
Pergocrema
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
25 Apr
Pergocrema
1 : 3
Cremonese
22 Apr
Lanciano
0 : 0
Pergocrema
04 Apr
Frosinone
5 : 1
Pergocrema
Page 1 of 6

Portogruaro

(Away)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 34 17 11 6 48:29 62
2 Trapani 34 17 9 8 57:42 60
3 Siracusa 34 18 9 7 46:31 58
4 Lanciano 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Cremonese 34 15 10 9 47:30 49
6 Barletta 34 12 13 9 43:38 48
7 Sudtirol 34 11 13 10 39:34 46
8 Carrarese 34 11 12 11 43:39 45
9 Frosinone 34 13 6 15 40:41 45
10 Portogruaro 34 9 13 12 40:45 40
11 Pergocrema 34 12 9 13 33:46 40
12 Fidelis Andria 34 9 12 13 37:38 39
13 FeralpiSalo 34 9 11 14 26:37 38
14 Prato 34 8 11 15 36:44 35
15 Triestina 34 9 8 17 43:55 35
16 Latina 34 8 11 15 37:45 35
17 Piacenza 34 10 13 11 41:49 34
18 Bassano Virtus 34 7 11 16 29:48 32
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro C1/B 2011/2012 (Play Offs)