Sport Picks
Pergolettese vs Carpi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Pergolettese host Carpi in the Serie C - Group A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pergolettese have averaged 0.89 scored and 0.96 conceded recently, against Carpi's 1.11 scored and 1.54 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.25) point toward Pergolettese. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Pergolettese come out ahead of Carpi on wins alone.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Pergolettese taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pergolettese | Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carpi has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Pergolettese remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Pergolettese scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Carpi lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pergolettese
(Home)Carpi
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Trento | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 6 | Treviso | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 8 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 10 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Lecco | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 8 |
| 12 | Desenzano Calvina | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Pergolettese | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1:3 | 7 |
| 14 | Carpi | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 15 | Folgore Caratese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 16 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 17 | Novara | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Pro Vercelli | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 20 | Renate | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 2 |