Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pergolettese vs Castellana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 game between Pergolettese and Castellana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pergolettese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Pergolettese
35%
Draws
24%
Castellana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pergolettese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Pergolettese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pergolettese a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 20%
Castellana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Castellana
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Pergolettese vs Castellana
1:0
Sep 7, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Castellana vs Pergolettese
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 67 / 100
Castellana 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Castellana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pergolettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Pergolettese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Castellana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Castellana lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 7

Castellana

(Away)
10 May
Castellana
1 : 2
Villafranca
03 May
Olginatese
5 : 0
Castellana
26 Apr
Castellana
1 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
19 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Castellana
12 Apr
Castellana
0 : 2
FC Castiglione
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)