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Pergolettese vs Ospitaletto

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Pergolettese and Ospitaletto finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Pergolettese
35%
Draws
38%
Ospitaletto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ospitaletto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Pergolettese haven't matched Ospitaletto's recent run of results.
  • Ospitaletto are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 20%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Ospitaletto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.52
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Ospitaletto
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Pergolettese vs Ospitaletto
0:0
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Pergolettese vs Ospitaletto
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 28 / 100
Ospitaletto 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ospitaletto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pergolettese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ospitaletto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Pergolettese scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS Ospitaletto
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Pergolettese
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Ospitaletto

(Away)
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2
Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1
Cittadella
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
Juventus U23
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
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