Sport Picks
Pergolettese vs Trento
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Giuseppe Voltini, Crema 
Match Events
35'
35'
Pellegrini J.
46'
46'
Sub
Padalino A. In: Catena E. M.
Out: Padalino A.
56'
56'
Sub
Careccia S. In: Tremolada M.
Out: Careccia S.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Pergolettese and Trento finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trento.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trento
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Trento carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 23%
Trento Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pergolettese | Trento |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Trento
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Trento
1:2
Sep 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Pergolettese
0:0
Feb 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Pergolettese
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Trento
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pergolettese Compare
Top Goalscorer Tremolada M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Trento Compare
Top Goalscorer Pellegrini J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Capone C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pergolettese 33 / 100
Trento 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pergolettese Trento
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pergolettese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Trento has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Pergolettese found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Pergolettese VS Trento
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pergolettese
(Home) 26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Trento
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Union Brescia
09 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Inter U23
06 Aug
Pergolettese
1 : 0 Club Milano
Page 1 of 3
Trento
(Away) 26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Trento
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0 Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2 Trento
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0 Lecco
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Trento
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2 Trento
31 Aug
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Trento
19 Jul
Genoa
2 : 1 Trento
25 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0 Trento
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
