Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pergolettese vs Triestina

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Anzolin M.
Own Goal
49' Event
Tremolada M.
56'
Davis H.

AI Match Summary

Pergolettese in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pergolettese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pergolettese
35%
Draws
19%
Triestina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pergolettese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Pergolettese have won more games recently than Triestina.
  • Model gives Pergolettese a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 68%
Triestina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pergolettese Triestina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.28
Goals Conceded 1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Triestina
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Pergolettese
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Pergolettese
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Triestina
1:0
Jan 28, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Triestina vs Pergolettese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pergolettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Tremolada M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Triestina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pergolettese 77 / 100
Triestina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pergolettese Triestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pergolettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triestina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Pergolettese remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Pergolettese found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pergolettese VS Triestina
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pergolettese

(Home)
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

Triestina

(Away)
27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0
Triestina
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Altavilla
1 : 1
Triestina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)