Sport Picks

Brazil

Paraibano 2 2023

Desportiva Guarabira

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Perilima play Desportiva Guarabira in the Paraibano 2 2023. Desportiva Guarabira are favorites here. Recently, Perilima averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Desportiva Guarabira averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Perilima won 0, Desportiva Guarabira won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 4, 2023 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Perilima and 0.86 for Desportiva Guarabira. This points to a Desportiva Guarabira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Perilima

24%

Draws

60%

Desportiva Guarabira

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Desportiva Guarabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Perilima picked up more points recently compared to Desportiva Guarabira.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Perilima Clean Sheet 25%

Desportiva Guarabira Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Perilima	Desportiva Guarabira
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	12
Draws	8	7
Losses	19	11
Goals Scored	0.8	1.43
Goals Conceded	2.17	1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2023 Paraibano 2

Perilima vs Desportiva Guarabira

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 4 - 4

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perilima 19 / 100

Desportiva Guarabira 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Perilima Desportiva Guarabira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desportiva Guarabira Win (2)

Secondary Pick Desportiva Guarabira & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Perilima attacking → ← attacking Desportiva Guarabira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perilima scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Desportiva Guarabira let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Perilima went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Desportiva Guarabira lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 43

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EC de Patos	9	6	2	1	18:9	20
2	Atletico Cajazeirense	9	6	1	2	21:8	19
3	Confianca PB	9	6	0	3	22:13	18
4	Pombal	9	5	1	3	12:5	16
5	Spartax	9	4	3	2	10:8	15
6	Picuiense	9	4	2	3	13:12	14
7	Desportiva Guarabira	9	4	1	4	13:17	13
8	Sport PB	9	2	2	5	12:17	8
9	Sabugy	9	1	2	6	7:12	5
10	Perilima	9	0	0	9	0:27	0