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Pero Pinheiro vs GD Peniche - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 Parque de Jogos Pardal Monteiro, Sintra
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sousa Lamas D. A.
83' Event
Gavino H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Pero Pinheiro
15%
Draws
64%
GD Peniche
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Peniche

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Peniche lately — more wins on the board than Pero Pinheiro.
  • GD Peniche are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pero Pinheiro Clean Sheet 24%
GD Peniche Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pero Pinheiro GD Peniche
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 4 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.47 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Pero Pinheiro vs GD Peniche
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Peniche vs Pero Pinheiro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pero Pinheiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gavino H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

GD Peniche Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa Lamas D. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pero Pinheiro 25 / 100
GD Peniche 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pero Pinheiro GD Peniche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Peniche Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Peniche's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

GD Peniche lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Pero Pinheiro found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS GD Peniche
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pero Pinheiro

(Home)
13 Apr
Os Marialvas
1 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
06 Apr
Pero Pinheiro
0 : 2
Mortagua FC
29 Mar
Arronches Benfica
2 : 1
Pero Pinheiro
16 Mar
Pero Pinheiro
0 : 2
O Elvas CAD
09 Mar
Fatima
4 : 0
Pero Pinheiro
Page 1 of 6

GD Peniche

(Away)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1
GD Peniche
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2
GD Peniche
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)