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Stadium Background

Perolas Negras vs Americano

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Pepeu

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Perolas Negras and Americano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Americano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Perolas Negras
20%
Draws
40%
Americano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Americano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 20%
Americano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras Americano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Carioca 2
Perolas Negras vs Americano
0:1
May 26, 2025 Carioca 2
Perolas Negras vs Americano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepeu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras 32 / 100
Americano 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras Americano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Americano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Perolas Negras scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Americano has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Perolas Negras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras VS Americano
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras

(Home)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 6

Americano

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
23 Jul
Portuguesa RJ
1 : 0
Americano
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)