Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Perolas Negras vs Americano

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Pepeu

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Perolas Negras and Americano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Americano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Perolas Negras
17%
Draws
13%
Americano
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Perolas Negras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Americano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Perolas Negras taking it.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%
Americano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras Americano
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Carioca 2
Perolas Negras vs Americano
0:1
May 26, 2025 Carioca 2
Perolas Negras vs Americano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Americano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepeu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras 77 / 100
Americano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras Americano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Perolas Negras scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Americano has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Perolas Negras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras VS Americano
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras

(Home)
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
20 Jun
Perolas Negras
0 : 1
Americano
Page 1 of 6

Americano

(Away)
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1
America RJ
15 Jul
Americano
1 : 1
Portuguesa RJ
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0
Americano
04 Jul
Resende
1 : 2
Americano
27 Jun
Americano
1 : 1
Marica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)