Sport Picks
Perolas Negras vs Duque de Caxias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Carioca 2 2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Perolas Negras in this Carioca 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perolas Negras.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Perolas Negras at 1.2 per game, Duque de Caxias at 0.83.
- Duque de Caxias are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Perolas Negras | Duque de Caxias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Perolas Negras Compare
Duque de Caxias Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Perolas Negras scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Duque de Caxias let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Perolas Negras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Perolas Negras
(Home)Duque de Caxias
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Goncalo | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13:8 | 19 |
| 2 | Bangu | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 3 | CEAC/Araruama | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | 16 |
| 4 | Olaria | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 5 | Resende | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:10 | 15 |
| 6 | America RJ | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 7:7 | 14 |
| 7 | Cabofriense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Perolas Negras | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Americano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Audax RJ | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 11 | Duque de Caxias | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Goncalense | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9:12 | 12 |
