Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Marica lately — more wins on the board than Perolas Negras.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Perolas Negras taking it.
- Marica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Marica have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%
Marica Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Perolas Negras | Marica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Rio
Marica vs Perolas Negras
3:0
Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
Perolas Negras vs Marica
0:0
Jul 4, 2026 Carioca 2
Marica vs Perolas Negras
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Perolas Negras 46 / 100
Marica 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Perolas Negras Marica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Perolas Negras scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.
Perolas Negras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Marica conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Perolas Negras VS Marica
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Perolas Negras
(Home) 22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0 Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0 Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0 Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2 Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1 Santa Cruz RJ
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15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0 Marica
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1 Santa Cruz RJ
20 Jun
Perolas Negras
0 : 1 Americano
06 Jun
Perolas Negras
2 : 1 Serrano FC
23 May
Perolas Negras
3 : 1 CEAC/Araruama
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Marica
(Away) 12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0 Boavista
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0 Perolas Negras
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1 Resende
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0 Marica
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12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0 Marica
11 Jul
Resende
1 : 0 Marica
27 Jun
Americano
1 : 1 Marica
14 Jun
Serrano FC
1 : 1 Marica
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 1
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
