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Perolas Negras vs Paduano EC

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Perolas Negras Logo

Perolas Negras

0 - 1
FT
Paduano EC Logo

Paduano EC

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Araujo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paduano EC in this Carioca B1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paduano EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Perolas Negras
20%
Draws
47%
Paduano EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paduano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paduano EC have won more games recently than Perolas Negras.
  • Win probability leans Paduano EC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 19%
Paduano EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras Paduano EC
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.16 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Carioca B1
Perolas Negras vs Paduano EC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

Paduano EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras 24 / 100
Paduano EC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras Paduano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paduano EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Perolas Negras scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Paduano EC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Perolas Negras stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras VS Paduano EC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras

(Home)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
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Paduano EC

(Away)
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
06 Sept
Paduano EC
1 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
30 Aug
Cardoso Moreira
1 : 0
Paduano EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artsul 8 5 1 2 10:5 16
2 Paduano EC 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
3 Sao Goncalo 8 3 4 1 10:2 13
4 Perolas Negras 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
5 Friburguense 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
6 Nova Cidade 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
7 Sao Cristovao 8 2 1 5 3:9 7
8 Serrano FC 8 1 3 4 5:9 6
9 Belford Roxo 8 0 6 2 5:10 6
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)