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Perolas Negras vs Resende

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Perolas Negras Logo

Perolas Negras

1 - 1
FT
Resende Logo

Resende

Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Pedro Pires
90' Event
Wiliver
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Perolas Negras
20%
Draws
29%
Resende
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perolas Negras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Resende have won more games recently than Perolas Negras.
  • Win probability leans Perolas Negras's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 17%
Resende Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras Resende
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Carioca 2
Perolas Negras vs Resende
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 Carioca 2
Perolas Negras vs Resende
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Pires
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiliver
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras 39 / 100
Resende 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perolas Negras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perolas Negras's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Resende let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Perolas Negras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras VS Resende
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras

(Home)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 6

Resende

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)