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Perolas Negras W vs Itabirito W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
De La Torre L.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women game between Perolas Negras W and Itabirito W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabirito W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Perolas Negras W
35%
Draws
53%
Itabirito W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Itabirito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabirito W come out ahead of Perolas Negras W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Itabirito W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Brasileiro A2 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 13%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras W Itabirito W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.47 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Perolas Negras W vs Itabirito W
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Perolas Negras W vs Itabirito W
1:2
Jun 7, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Itabirito W vs Perolas Negras W
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Perolas Negras W vs Itabirito W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer De La Torre L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras W 10 / 100
Itabirito W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras W Itabirito W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perolas Negras W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Perolas Negras W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Itabirito W let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Perolas Negras W VS Itabirito W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.38
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Perolas Negras W

(Home)
08 Aug
Perolas Negras W
2 : 3
3B da Amazonia W
02 Aug
Atletico-PI W
1 : 0
Perolas Negras W
25 Jul
Acao W
0 : 0
Perolas Negras W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
22 May
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
1 : 1
Perolas Negras W
Page 1 of 6

Itabirito W

(Away)
23 Aug
Itabirito W
3 : 0
Sport Recife W
16 Aug
Sport Recife W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
08 Aug
Taubate W
0 : 1
Itabirito W
01 Aug
Itabirito W
9 : 0
Itacoatiara W
24 Jul
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W
0 : 2
Itabirito W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco W 15 13 2 0 52:10 41
2 Itabirito W 15 13 1 1 35:6 40
3 Minas Brasilia W 15 11 3 1 37:8 36
4 Atletico-PI W 15 11 0 4 49:12 33
5 3B da Amazonia W 15 7 5 3 23:12 26
6 Acao W 15 7 4 4 20:17 25
7 Sport Recife W 15 7 3 5 18:14 24
8 Taubate W 15 5 3 7 23:18 18
9 Perolas Negras W 15 4 5 6 18:22 17
10 Paysandu PA W 15 4 3 8 14:28 15
11 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 15 4 3 8 13:27 15
12 Ceara W 15 4 1 10 12:26 13
13 Doce Mel W 15 3 4 8 12:27 13
14 Vila Nova FC W 15 4 1 10 13:33 13
15 UD Alagoana W 15 2 1 12 9:37 7
16 Itacoatiara W 15 1 1 13 9:60 4
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)