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Perolas Negras W vs UD Alagoana W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perolas Negras W play UD Alagoana W in the Brasileiro A2 Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Perolas Negras W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. UD Alagoana W averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Perolas Negras W won 0, UD Alagoana W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Perolas Negras W and 1.19 for UD Alagoana W. This points to a UD Alagoana W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Perolas Negras W
15%
Draws
44%
UD Alagoana W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Alagoana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Perolas Negras W picked up more points recently compared to UD Alagoana W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Perolas Negras W Clean Sheet 20%
UD Alagoana W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perolas Negras W UD Alagoana W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.5 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Perolas Negras W vs UD Alagoana W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perolas Negras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Naireles
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UD Alagoana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Evila
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perolas Negras W 41 / 100
UD Alagoana W 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perolas Negras W UD Alagoana W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UD Alagoana W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Perolas Negras W attacking → ← attacking UD Alagoana W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perolas Negras W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

UD Alagoana W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Perolas Negras W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

UD Alagoana W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 47
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vasco W12111043:834
2Itabirito W12101123:631
3Minas Brasilia W1292128:629
4Atletico-PI W1290329:1027
5Acao W1262415:1320
63B da Amazonia W1145211:817
7Sport Recife W1252513:1417
8Perolas Negras W1244416:1816
9Taubate W1242619:1714
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1242612:2214
11Doce Mel W123459:1813
12Ceara W1131710:1710
13Vila Nova FC W1231812:2710
14Paysandu PA W123189:2410
15Itacoatiara W1211109:294
16UD Alagoana W1211107:284